Virginia's
bogus budget crisis
"taxation by misrepresentation"
Arthur G. Purves, President of the Fairfax County Taxpayers Alliance,
today accused Virginia Governor Mark R. Warner of concocting a budget crisis
by misrepresenting Virginia revenues. Purves stated, "This evening the
Governor is poised to announce large budget cuts due to a so-called budget
crisis. The fact is Virginia revenues are still near their record high.
The alleged shortfall is not so much a fall-off in revenues as it is a fall-off
from overly optimistic budget projections made during the dot-com boom."
Fairfax County Taxpayers Alliance budget analyses conclude the following
(visit www.fcta.org for graphs):
- Between 1998 and 2002, Virginia inflation-adjusted spending per
person grew by an extraordinary 18 percent.
- Although current-year inflation-adjusted spending per person
is below the record high of 2002, it is still eight percent greater than
in 1998.
- Governor Warner’s $5 billion budget shortfall is based on overly
optimistic state revenue projections made in December, 2000, before the
dot-com boom collapsed.
- Current revenue projections are still greater than revenue projections
made in December, 1996, before the dot-com boom began.
- Currently-projected FY2003 revenues are still $2 billion more
than needed to cover population and inflation growth since 1998.
- In Fairfax County, per-household real estate tax increases have
exceeded savings from the car tax cut.
According to a Virginia Joint Legislative Audit and Review Commission
report, "Review of State Spending: June 2002 Update" (p. 11), between 1981
and 2001, public school inflation-adjusted spending per student
increased nearly ten times faster than enrollment and public-college
spending increased four times faster than enrollment. Mental health spending
increased while the number of clients in the program decreased. The state
inmate population increased almost ten times faster than population.
Mr. Purves stated, "State revenues between 1997 and 2003 are $8 billion
more than were projected in December, 1996, prior to the dot-com boom. How
then can the Governor declare a budget crisis? Instead he should be asking
why huge spending increases produced so few results and what are the underlying
reasons behind the huge increase in prison inmates. If the Governor
suggests that a so-called budget crisis resulting from an unexpected $8
billion windfall in extra revenue is justification for passing the sales
tax referendum, he will be advocating more taxation by misrepresentation."
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