On Mike Lindell's Claimed 2020 Election Results
-- David Swink, FCTA board member / 2021-08-15 (Updated 2021-09-14)
No rational person watching the 2020 U.S. Presidential election can believe that there weren't some massive shenanigans going -- what with the multi-state synchronized tabulation stoppages where Trump was way ahead in Battleground states before the delay, and then Biden magically pulled ahead when counting resumed. And there has been much discussion (except in the mainstream media) about the ability of the vote tabulation software used in many states to alter the vote count from what was recorded on the paper ballots. Other countries like Brazil are experiencing similar problems.
"My Pillow" guy Mike Lindell has been leading the charge to prove the massive election fraud he claims occurred, and with which many agree. His touted his three-day "Cyber Symposium" -- held in Sioux Falls, SD on August 10-12, 2021 and viewed live on OANN -- was supposed to reveal the final proof of election fraud and show the actual results in the various states. Your humble scribe watched a goodly part of the three-day presentation and, like many others, failed to see his "irrefutable evidence" of election fraud -- with or without his 37 terabytes of data.
However, Lindell did present Powerpoint slides for twelve states showing "The Big Lie" official results versus his "The Truth" honest forensic tabulations. At that time, unfortunately, he offered no 50-state textual reference for the numbers he provided, nor did he adequately explain the methods he used for obtaining his revised results. But his 50-state numbers are now posted as screen images at his
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Official Election Results | Mike Lindell's Election Results | Mike's St(EV): Biden Trump B+T votes | Biden Trump (incr %) |EV Flip? ======+=============+============+=============+=============+====================+======== AL( 9): 849,624 1,441,170 2,290,794 | 753,301 1,537,493(+4.20%) | AK( 3): 153,778 189,951 343,729 | 139,321 204,408(+4.21%) | AZ(11): 1,672,143 1,661,686 3,333,829 | 1,531,925 1,801,904(+4.21%) | +11T CA(55): 11,110,250 6,006,429 17,116,679 | 10,390,321 6,726,358(+4.21%) | CO( 9): 1,804,352 1,364,607 3,168,959 | 1,671,097 1,497,862(+4.21%) | CT( 7): 1,080,831 714,717 1,795,548 | 1,005,396 1,795,548(+4.21%) | DC( 3): 317,323 18,586 335,909 | 303,195 32,714(+4.21%) | DE( 3): 296,268 200,603 496,871 | 275,370 221,501(+4.21%) | FL(29): 5,292,638 5,661,124 10,953,762 | 4,831,936 6,121,826(+4.21%) | GA(16): 2,473,633 2,461,854 4,935,487 | 2,266,111 2,669,376(+4.20%) | +16T HI( 4): 366,130 196,864 562,994 | 342,452 220,542(+4.21%) | ID( 4): 287,021 554,119 841,140 | 251,664 589,476(+4.20%) | IL(20): 3,428,337 2,408,639 5,836,976 | 3,182,877 2,654,099(+4.21%) | IN(11): 1,242,416 1,729,519 2,971,935 | 1,117,457 1,854,478(+4.20%) | IA( 6): 759,061 897,672 1,656,733 | 689,422 967,311(+4.20%) | KS( 6): 570,208 770,644 1,340,852 | 513,854 826,998(+4.20%) | KY( 8): 772,474 1,326,646 2,099,120 | 684,243 1,414,877(+4.20%) | LA( 8): 856,034 1,255,776 2,111,810 | 767,237 1,344,573(+4.20%) | ME( 4): 435,072 360,737 795,809 | 402,123 393,686(+4.14%) | MD(10): 1,985,023 976,414 2,961,437 | 1,860,474 1,100,963(+4.21%) | MA(11): 2,382,202 1,167,202 3,549,404 | 2,233,083 1,316,321(+4.20%) | MI(16): 2,804,040 2,649,852 5,453,892 | 2,574,678 2,879,214(+4.21%) | +16T MN(10): 1,717,077 1,484,065 3,201,142 | 1,582,474 1,618,668(+4.21%) | +10T MS( 6): 539,398 756,764 1,296,162 | 484,923 811,239(+4.20%) | MO(10): 1,142,925 1,697,262 2,840,187 | 1,023,529 1,816,658(+4.20%) | MT( 3): 244,786 343,602 588,388 | 220,069 368,319(+4.20%) | NE( 5): 374,583 556,846 931,429 | 335,448 595,981(+4.20%) | NV( 6): 703,486 669,890 1,373,376 | 645,728 727,648(+4.21%) | +6T NH( 4): 424,937 365,660 790,597 | 391,804 398,793(+4.19%) | +4T NJ(14): 2,608,335 1,883,274 4,491,609 | 2,419,424 2,072,185(+4.21%) | NM( 5): 501,614 401,894 903,508 | 463,627 439,881(+4.20%) | NY(29): 5,244,103 3,251,326 8,495,429 | 4,886,806 3,608,623(+4.21%) | NC(15): 2,684,292 2,758,775 5,443,067 | 2,455,401 2,987,666(+4.21%) | ND( 3): 114,902 235,595 350,497 | 100,187 250,310(+4.20%) | OH(18): 2,679,165 3,154,834 5,833,999 | 2,433,823 3,400,176(+4.21%) | OK( 7): 503,890 1,020,280 1,524,170 | 439,822 1,084,348(+4.20%) | OR( 7): 1,340,383 958,448 2,298,831 | 1,243,707 1,055,124(+4.21%) | PA(20): 3,458,229 3,377,674 6,835,903 | 3,170,737 3,665,166(+4.21%) | +20T RI( 4): 306,210 199,837 506,047 | 284,945 221,102(+4.20%) | SC( 9): 1,091,541 1,385,103 2,476,644 | 987,392 1,489,252(+4.21%) | SD( 3): 150,471 261,043 411,514 | 133,198 278,316(+4.20%) | TN(11): 1,143,349 1,850,103 2,993,452 | 1,017,485 1,975,967(+4.20%) | TX(38): 5,259,126 5,890,347 11,149,473 | 4,790,318 6,359,155(+4.20%) | UT( 6): 560,282 865,140 1,425,422 | 500,337 925,085(+4.21%) | VT( 3): 242,820 112,704 355,524 | 227,994 127,530(+4.17%) | VA(13): 2,413,568 1,962,430 4,375,998 | 2,229,573 2,146,425(+4.20%) | WA(12): 2,369,612 1,584,651 3,954,263 | 2,203,312 1,750,951(+4.21%) | WV( 5): 235,984 545,382 781,366 | 203,147 578,219(+4.20%) | WI(10): 1,630,866 1,610,184 3,241,050 | 1,494,581 1,746,469(+4.20%) | +10T WY( 3): 73,491 193,559 267,050 | 62,269 204,781(+4.20%) | ======+=============+============+=============+=============+====================+======== US(538): 81,268,924 74,216,154 155,485,078 | 74,740,455 80,744,263(+4.20%) | +93T 306EV 232EV | 213EV 325EV |
Lindell's figures look very suspicious from a statistical standpoint:
- His Biden+Trump vote totals after his adjustments are exactly the same as the official Biden+Trump vote count in all 50 states plus DC. One should expect some variation in those totals.
- Almost without exception, each state shows Trump's increase in vote count at exactly 4.205% of that state's Biden+Trump vote total. It's hard to believe that every single state used the same ballot counting software and was manipulated in the same way.
- It's seems a bid odd that Lindell's state-by-state data -- even the nitty-gritty details -- is presented only as images, rather than as readable text in html or pdf format. Surely he'd want others to conveniently examine some of his findings from that touted 37 terabytes!
So Lindell's numbers as presented seem highly suspicious. And while he claimed those eight states "flipped" for Trump, his simple spreadsheet-like presentation is not convincing. Here's hoping that, due to widespread popular distrust of the 2020 election results, a few of these eight states at least will prove or disprove his numbers by manually recounting those paper ballots, which by federal law must be retained for 22 months after an election. Ideally, all 50 states would do this.
It's clear that vote counting in the U.S. has gone far away from simple hand-counting, and the potential for fraud exists. (Lindell suggests we should "go Amish" and get back to manually counting ballots.) Perhaps Florida had the right approach to quickly tabulating the vote in 2000 with their IBM punch-card ballots fed into dumb high-speed card readers. All you had to worry about then was "hanging chads".